Friday, March 22, 2019

Ready to go big?

So after my first loss in the latest strategy (1 trade a day), I tried to mix it up by increasing the number of trades per day. I went on a 9 trade win, and hit yet another loss. I then tried to adjust my TP to 5 pips instead of 2. 1 win and 1 loss. And now I'm back to square one.

I think this just validates 1 thing - overtrading is a problem for this high risk strategy. I gotta stick to 1 trade a day. Next, I think I'll incorporate a double down approach to deal with losses. E.g. holding a large enough account to trade on 1 contract, but when I lose, trade 2 or 3 contracts to get back the losses, before reverting to 1 CO tract.

Profits would be slower, but perhaps more stomachable? Trade safe!

Yours,

X

Wednesday, March 6, 2019

Past Strategies and Results

S/No. Date Strategy Gain/Loss Per Trade R:R Largest Capital Gain Duration
1 9 Feb 17 Any direction. 2 pip limit. 1%/unlimited infinite 15% 4 Weeks
2 10 Aug 17 RSI high/low. 10%/5% 1:2 26% 1 Week
3 9 Feb 18 Double Bar at Midnight. 10 pip limit, 100 pip stop. 4%/48% 12:1 60% 9 Weeks
4 15 May 18 Prev Day 27 pip at Midnight. 20 pip limit, 55 pip stop. 12%/33% 3:1 25% 4 Weeks
5 2 Aug 18 Signals App. 5 pip limit, 15 pip stop. 4%/12% 3:1 60% 1 Week
6 11 Aug 18 Pivot Point Strategy. 20%/10% 1:2 345% 2 Weeks
7 18 Oct 18 1:3RR. 15 pip limit, 5 pip stop. 3%/1% 1:3 148% 12 Weeks
8 11 Feb 18 RSI30 HH/LL; LH/LL w/ eye on Pivots and RSI. 2 pip limit, 20 pip stop. 3%/30% 10:1 83% 5 Weeks

Latest Strategy Performance - Loss

Have reverted to my original strategy of high leverage 2-pip scalping. 1 mini-lot on AUD/USD per trade. The difference this time is that I have a stop of 20 pips (vs no stops in the first instance). I also keep an eye on pivot points i.e. try not to trade at those levels.

I'm not sure if I've been trading better using the 30min timeframe, but I take heart that my positions are closing much faster on average (3.3% gains per trade). Here's how they've worked out so far:

S/No. Date Time to Close Remarks
1 11 Feb 19 23 mins
2 12 Feb 19 29 mins
3 13 Feb 19 34 mins
4 14 Feb 19 3 mins
5 15 Feb 19 5 mins
6 18 Feb 19 23 mins
7 19 Feb 19 6 mins
8 20 Feb 19 4 mins
9 21 Feb 19 2 mins
10 22 Feb 19 5 mins
11 25 Feb 19 5 mins
12 26 Feb 19 11 mins
13 27 Feb 19 16 mins manual Bad day. 3h 40min manual closed for break even. Too emotional.
14 28 Feb 19 27 mins
15 1 Mar 19 10 mins
16 4 Mar 19 15 mins
17 5 Mar 19 26 mins
18 6 Mar 19 8 mins
19 7 Mar 19 18 mins
20 8 Mar 19 104 mins May have taken longer as I traded at a pivot point.
21 11 Mar 19 18 mins
22 12 Mar 19 29 mins
23 13 Mar 19 7h 40mins Expected a bounce off pivot. Didn't happen. Should just wait.
24 14 Mar 19 42 mins Saw pivot bounce, that hit again and went through. So I followed the direction down.
25 15 Mar 19 42 mins Middle of pivot, RSI60, shorted. Would've worked both ways anyway.
26 18 Mar 19 5 mins Middle of pivot, RSI35, two red bars, shorted. Point to note, fortunate as it closed at the bottom of a huge spike that would have triggered my SL.
27 19 Mar 19 SL hit after hours Middle of pivot, two green bars, went long. But it kept going down and triggered my first loss of this strategy.

Been simply using 30min bars, with higher/lower highs/lows to signal the direction of the trade, while making sure i'm not trading at a pivot level. Also keeping an eye on RSI. Keep those charts as clean as possible!

With 26 winning trades and 1 losing one, I'm still in the black since my R:R is 10:1 (33% capital risked). Can afford 1 losing trade and still come away with a healthy 20% profit.

Trade safe.

Yours,

X